Cogito

Coincident and Lagging Indicators

Posted in Uncategorized by qmarks on January 20, 2010

Coincident indicators have only limited forecasting value. Instead they represent what is happening currently in the economy.

1) Employees on Nonagricultural Payrolls

2) Personal Income less Transfer Payments

That indicator simply measures the amount of income received by persons in the country. It is obviously directly related to the economy

3) Industrial Production

4) Manufacturing and Trade Sales

LAGGING INDICATORS

1)Average Duration of Unemployment

2)Labor cost per unit of output, manufacturing

3) Average Prime Rate Charged by Banks

4)Commercial and Industrial Loans Outstanding (rate of change)

5) Ratio, Consumer Installment Credit Outstanding to Personal Income

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